Training · Limited evidence

How Much to Increase Running Mileage

The 10% weekly rule did not hold up; volume-related injury risk rose in runners who increased weekly distance by more than 30%.

Prospective cohort · 1 source · 2 min

What the studies show

  • Overall injury risk was similar between runners who increased weekly distance by less than 10% and those who increased it by up to 30%.
  • Above 30%, volume-related injuries (shin, knee, tendon) became more frequent.

How Letz applies it

A stage only progresses once the previous one has been completed without feeling difficult—never simply by the calendar—and cardio blocks increase by just a few minutes at a time.

Who it applies to

Novice runners using a GPS watch.

Limits

Observational; few injuries per subgroup and a clear difference seen only in overuse injuries.

Sources

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