Training · Moderate evidence

Recent Workload as a Signal, Not a Blocker

The acute-to-chronic workload ratio has statistical flaws and does not predict injury reliably enough to halt training; it serves as one signal among others.

Critical reviews and reanalysis · 2 sources · 2 min

What the studies show

  • The ratio reacts to any denominator, even a random one, which inflates associations with injury.
  • The authors recommend abandoning the ratio as a standalone decision rule.

How Letz applies it

Low readiness makes the day's cardio lighter (no sprints, fewer rounds), but nothing is blocked and the user decides.

Who it applies to

Workload monitoring in sports and recreational training.

Limits

This does not mean workload does not matter: it means the ratio alone is poor for making standalone decisions.

Sources

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